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Water & Food Insecurity in Somalia
Somalia has been affected by prolonged drought conditions since 2020, following several consecutive failed rainy seasons. These conditions have reduced water availability, undermined agricultural production, and increased food insecurity. As a result, tens of thousands of people have relocated, mainly to urban centres, in search of water, food, and livelihood opportunities. In addition, armed groups such as Al Shabaab are exploiting climate-related crises by presenting themselves as aid providers.
The lessons from this case study contribute to understanding how water scarcity and food insecurity can interact with broader security challenges, providing insights relevant to other countries in the Horn of Africa.
Indicators to be tested:
- Meteorological drought indicator (Monitoring)
- Meteorological drought indicator (Forecast)
- Meteorological drought indicator (calibrated in danger levels)
- Agricultural drought monitoring (near real-time)
- Agricultural drought forecast
- Agricultural Drought Risk Zone Map
- Population at Risk of Food Insecurity
- Population at Risk of Water Insecurity
- Population Exposure to Conflict
- Food insecurity
- Economic insecurity
- Displaced persons
- Violent Conflicts
- Radicalisation and polarisation
- Humanitarian aid
- Resource capture
- Climate sensitivity of agri-food systems
- Public services and infrastructures
- State-citizen relations
- Dispute resolution mechanisms
- Social cohesion and trust
- Drought Displacement Prediction Index (DDPI)
- Drought Conflict Prediction Index (DCPI)